TradingView Understanding the phenomenon
While these questions will continue, the new GME share price rally shows that it was not a one-off situation.It’s not completely clear why the shares have been targeted again.It could be linked to the fact that the congressional hearing has passed.It could be linked to the resignation of GameStop chief finance officer Jim Bell, signalling a change of direction in the company.Or it could be to do with the fact that short positions on the firm’s shares had risen again , possibly prompting amateur traders to buy bullish options in the stock which will pay out handsomely if the price keeps rising.
Meme circulating on WallStreetBets during the second GME surge.Reddit
But at the same time, I would argue that none of these reasons properly explain what is happening here.After years of researching financial markets and specifically the new highly speculative cryptocurrency market, I can identify three main reasons behind the phenomenon.
First, it is about the expansion of fintech and the ongoing decentralisation of the financial market.New technologies such as easy trading apps provide access to financial markets to a large number of amateurs.They enable financial liberalisation and autonomy from the major banks and the other institutions that control the market, just like cryptocurrencies do, and this has mass appeal.
Finance scholars have named this effect “ crypto-exuberance ”.
Second, it’s an extension of the meme culture of millennials and generation Z “zoomers”, in which emotions are expressed with images, sounds, videos, emojis and abstract humour.Social media posts might contain sequences of unidentifiable nonsense, offensive terms and never-ending slang.
This all makes it harder to assess the sentiments behind them.For example, behavioural finance researchers would normally use algorithms to extract investor sentiments from Twitter posts, Google search trends and media headlines .But how would you use the academic software to analyse the content on r/WallStreetBets? This a huge challenge.
The third and perhaps least obvious driving force is the pandemic.A young generation of traders already blamed the older ones for the global financial crisis.
The pandemic has amplified these feelings of social injustice and hatred against the money of the baby boomers, as millennials who grew up or studied during the past recession are now facing another one as young professionals.
The government restrictions and the social isolation that they have caused have also arguably spiked rebellious sentiments.At the same time, this situation creates an ideal environment for all sorts of market manipulations.
So if the second GameStop rally has surprised you, you don’t really need to find a rational explanation for it.GameStop’s stock rally is driven by a combination of cultural and environmental factors.The fact that these all appear to be more important to these amateur traders than making money is fascinating and should be studied.Besides GameStop, AMC and also the decent Dogecoin explosion , we will continue to observe more cases like this in the future.
Larisa Yarovaya , Deputy Head of the Centre for Digital Finance, Lecturer in Finance, University of Southampton
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license.
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