Research: What does retail investors aggressive Bitcoin purchase mean for the market?

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Research: What does retail investors aggressive Bitcoin purchase mean for the market? Oluwapelumi Adejumo · 10 hours ago · 2 min read Several analysts have opined that Bitcoin whales aggressive selling is bearish for the asset.2 min read Updated: December 24, 2022 at 9:16 pm Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate Bitcoin (BTC) whales have been selling…

Research: What does retail investors aggressive Bitcoin purchase mean for the market? Oluwapelumi Adejumo · 10 hours ago · 2 min read Several analysts have opined that Bitcoin whales aggressive selling is bearish for the asset.2 min read Updated: December 24, 2022 at 9:16 pm Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate Bitcoin (BTC) whales have been selling their assets aggressively while retail investors have been accumulating the coins simultaneously throughout 2022.Bitcoin whales are defined as holders with more than 1,000 BTC, while retail traders are holders with one BTC or less.CryptoSlate’s previous research highlighted that retail investors’ BTC holdings since 2018 have doubled to 3 million from 1.5 million.On the other hand, whales have seen their BTC holdings decline from around 10 million to 9 million within the same time frame.Is this bullish or bearish for the market? Several market analysts hold divergent views on what this means for Bitcoin.However, most agree that whale selling usually suggests a bearish sign for the BTC’s price.In most cases, the actions of these holders greatly influence the price.

Since whales have the most supply, their dumping increases the available supply and shows a decline in their conviction which could influence others to exit their positions.Meanwhile, there is also an upside to this, which is a more distributed Bitcoin network.

When more people hold BTC, the asset is more resistant to the actions of whale investors.Maartunn said this scenario was perfect, but achieving it could take a long time.Another analyst Seth Michael Steele said: “Whales are selling, but retail is buying!!! Seems backwards but this will be good for more distribution among investors.Bitcoin shrimp picking up slack for whales is beautiful to watch!” Meanwhile, the recent sell-offs and accumulation could signify that Bitcoin is near the bottom of this bear market cycle.Usually, when small entities are more active in accumulation than small entities, the bottom is near.CryptoSlate’s analysis of Glassnode’s relative activity of small and large-scale entities since 2012 showed that the market bottoms whenever retail activity outstrips whale activity.

According to the above chart, this played out in 2012, 2015, 2017, 2019, and 2020.In all of the highlighted cases, retail investors increased activity marked the market bottom — the chart shows that the same pattern has begun to repeat itself in 2022.Bitcoin’s total hashrate tapped a low of 170 exahash per second (EH/s) on Dec.25, as reports noted that bitcoin miners in Texas curtailed their hashpower during a massive winter freeze.

Statistics show that close to 100 exahash dropped off the network but rebounded from the 170 EH/s low to 240 EH/s by 12:00 p.m.(ET).Texas Bitcoin Miners Curtail Computational Power After reaching 272 exahash per second (EH/s) on Dec.24, 2022, the network’s hashrate plunged during the early hours the very next day as it dropped to 170 EH/s.

A myriad of reports detail that because of the cold weather in Texas, bitcoin miners located in the area have voluntarily shut down operations.Bitcoin supporter Dennis Porter shared a screenshot of a message from the bitcoin mining operation Lancium as the business shut down its Ft.Stockton facility to give more power to the grid.“Bitcoin miners have once again voluntarily shut off power during an extreme weather event in Texas,” Porter tweeted.“Bitcoin miners are good for the grid.” The bitcoin mining operation Core Scientific explained that it too was participating in operational curtailments.“Due to extreme cold weather sweeping across the eastern and southern half of the U.S., we will be participating in multiple power curtailments to help stabilize the electrical grid,” the mining operation detailed.

Statistics from coinwarz.com indicates that while close to a 100 exahash went offline, the hashrate came back roughly around noon (ET) to around 240 EH/s.In fact, for the first time in a long period of time, Antpool has surpassed Foundry USA’s hashrate.Antpool commands 29.92 % of the global network at press time, as it has roughly 69 EH/s of computational power.Foundry USA has 19.68% of the global hashrate with 45.51 EH/s.Just two days ago, Foundry USA had around 70 EH/s and roughly 31% of the global hashrate on Dec.23.

Reports show that Texas is dealing with a major cold freeze and Texans do not want to experience icy blackouts like they did in 2021.The entire state will be dealing with subzero realfeel during the course of the holiday weekend.Reports on Friday noted that the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) grid in the state was holding its own but more cold winter tests are on the horizon.“Please be prepared for some ups and downs this weekend as we deal with the winter storm,” Compass Mining’s director of mining operations Neil Galloway tweeted.“Our hosting partners and technicians are working in rough conditions that may slow down progress but we are monitoring things throughout the weekend.This is what bitcoin mining does.” Galloway added: Because your miner is offline, people can heat their homes and cook, hospitals can continue to take care of patients, military bases can continue to monitor our borders and you can be proud to have been a integral part of balancing your grid.

Tags in this story 70 EH/s, Antpool, Bitcoin, Bitcoin Miners, Bitcoin mining, BTC, BTC Mining, Coinwarz.com, cold weather, Core Scientific, electric, Electric Reliability Council of Texas, ERCOT, Foundry, Foundry USA, Lancium, mining, Neil Galloway, Texas What do you think about the miners in Texas curtailing their hashrate to help the grid deal with the cold freeze? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.Jamie Redman Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida.Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011.He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications.Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 6,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only.It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies.

Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice.Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.By the end of this year bitcoin will have 13 consecutive years of recorded market value under its belt.Seven of those years saw Santa rallies all the way up until New Year’s Eve, and five of the 13 years saw bearish returns from Dec.1 to Dec.31.There’s still six more days left until the end of 2022, but current market action seems to point toward negative returns this month.

13 Years of Bitcoin Prices in December 2022 wasn’t the greatest year for bitcoin (BTC) in terms of market value measured in fiat.At the start of the year, BTC was trading for roughly $46K per unit and since then, the price has tumbled 63% since the first of Jan.2022.According to records, the first recorded nominal value of bitcoin in U.S.dollars was on Oct.5, 2009 and it was selling for $0.00764 per BTC on New Liberty Standard (NLS).At that rate, whoever was buying bitcoins at that time via NLS could get around 1,309.03 BTC for $1.We cant really count 2009, as seeing gains during the last month of the year, as recorded prices are sporadic.

However, records show on Dec.

17, 2009, one could get around 1,630.33 BTC for for a single greenback.On Dec.28, 2009, NLS quotes are around 1,578.76 BTC for $1.In Dec.2010, BTC’s price was much higher and on the first day of the month, BTC exchanged hands for $0.21 per coin.By Dec.31, 2010, a single bitcoin was 42.85% higher at $0.30 per unit.

Bitcoin would also see gains during the last month in 2011, and 2012.In 2011, BTC traded for $2.97 per unit on Dec.1, and thirty days later BTC exchanged hands for $4.25 or 43.09% higher.On Dec.

1, 2012, BTC changed hands for $12.57 per coin and by the end of the year, BTC was up 7% at $13.45 per unit.

During the next two years, despite the bull run in 2013, BTC did not see Santa rallies.For instance, on Dec.1, 2013, BTC was trading for $955.85 per coin and by Dec 31, it was 21.11% lower at $754.01 per unit.

2014 saw a 15.57% loss as BTC traded for $379.25 on Dec.1, and found itself changing hands for $320.19 by the year’s end.The last month of 2015, 2016, and 2017 all saw Santa rallies.In 2015 on Dec.

1, bitcoin was trading for $362.49, but by the year’s end it jumped 18.78% higher as it exchanged hands for $430.57 per unit.

Similarly, on Dec.1, 2016, BTC was trading for $756.77 and by Dec.31, it was up 27.34% and was swapping for $963.74 per coin.BTC also saw gains in 2017 when it traded for $10,975.60 per coin on Dec.1 and then ended the year 28.98% higher at $14,156.40 per BTC.

History shows that three out of the four next Decembers saw negative returns.In 2018, BTC swapped for $4,194.39 on Dec.1, and on Dec.31, BTC was trading for $3,740.23 losing 10.82% in USD value.The next year on Dec.1, 2019, bitcoin was trading for $7,449.52 and by the end of the year, it was down 3.13% and traded for $7,216.10 per unit.

2020 was the best bitcoin Santa rally ever recorded as BTC jumped 53% higher during the last month of the year.On Dec.

1, 2020, BTC swapped hands for $18,876.77 per coin and by the year’s end it was up to $28,994.35.At the end of 2021, BTC prices dropped during the last month, sliding 18.92% in USD value during the course of 30 days.

On Dec.1, 2021, BTC was trading for $57,217.66 per unit and by the month’s end, BTC was down to $46,387.98 per coin.Last month, wasn’t the greatest for BTC as it was up above $20K per unit before FTX collapsed.That specific event sent shockwaves through not only the industry, but it caused crypto markets to drop considerably in fiat value as well.

As of right now on Dec.

25, 2022, it does not seem like a Santa rally is in the cards for bitcoiners but you never know how the year could end.Over the next week, BTC could jump 10% or more higher and end 2022’s dismal bear market with a bang.Or we just might see what we’ve seen during the past few weeks, which is a whole lot of lackluster movements, low volumes since the FTX aftermath subsided, and a great deal of consolidation.

Tags in this story 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2022 performances, Bitcoin, Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Market, December, Decembers, Last Month, Last month of the year, rally, Santa Rallies, Santa Rally What do you think about the last 13 years of bitcoin’s recorded value? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.Jamie Redman Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida.Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011.He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications.

Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 6,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only.It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies.Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice.

Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.2022 is coming to an end, and our staff at NewsBTC decided to launch this Crypto Holiday Special to provide some perspective on the crypto industry.We will talk with multiple guests to understand this year’s highs and lows for crypto.In the spirit of Charles Dicken’s classic, “A Christmas Carol,” we’ll look into crypto from different angles, look at its possible trajectory for 2023 and find common ground amongst these different views of an industry that might support the future of finances.

We kicked us this special with an institutional guest, asset management firm Blofin.In early December, they wrote an essay called “Catastrophe, Survival, and Evolution: Writing After November’s Crypto Markets” which inspired this series.Blofin: “One of the apparent signals is that in December 2022, monthly crypto spot volumes have returned to 2020 levels.” In their essay, the firm argues that the crypto industry has been heavily impacted by the collapse of hedge fund Three Arrows Capital, FTX, Terra (LUNA), and others.These events forced crypto investors into inactivity as their confidence in the sector shattered.Blofin: “There is no doubt that crypto is the future direction of finance.Still, a series of previous events have shown that if investors’ money cannot be protected, they will eventually give up the crypto market (…).” But there is light at the end of the tunnel for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies; albeit a long recovery is ahead, the nascent asset class will emerge from its ashes.For Blofin, the crypto industry is on the brink of a critical evolution.Once completed, the sector will rise again on the back of new institutional support.

This is what they told us: Q: What’s the most significant difference for the crypto market today compared to Christmas 2021? Beyond the price of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others, what changed from that moment of euphoria to today’s perpetual fear? Has there been a decline in adoption and liquidity? Are fundamentals still valid? A: The most significant difference comes from two aspects: liquidity and investor confidence.In 2021, the liquidity of the crypto market is still sufficient, and the impact of the liquidity contraction in the risk asset market has not yet fully manifested.In 2022, with the Fed’s (U.S.Federal Reserve) continuous interest rate hikes, Luna’s collapse, 3AC Capital’s (Three Arrow Capital) bankruptcy, and chapter 11 of the FTX exchange, the liquidity of the crypto market is basically squeezed dry.

One of the apparent signals is that in December 2022, monthly crypto spot volumes have returned to 2020 levels.In addition, the blow to investor confidence from a series of events in 2022 will be huge.At Christmas 2021, institutions and retail investors feel they have a lot to do in the crypto market.At the end of 2022, even professional investment institutions have lost so much due to the collapse of exchanges.

As a result, they no longer trust the crypto industry; they feel that there are Ponzi schemes and scammers everywhere.In the end, institutions choose to withdraw funds, followed by retail investors.However, the number of investors in the crypto asset market is still high.Many people are just not active in a bear market, but that doesn’t mean they have left the crypto market.They are watching and waiting for the best time to buy the dip.Non-Zero on-chain addresses are still increasing steadily, and the hash rate of miners has not been significantly affected by the bear market in 2022.The influence of fundamentals is still valid for the crypto market, but it is mainly concentrated on the macro perspective.During the bear market period, liquidity is concentrated in BTC and ETH, and it is difficult for altcoins to obtain more liquidity.

Therefore, macro factors such as interest rate hikes and strong USD significantly impact BTC and ETH.At the same time, because of the bad liquidity status, improvements in the fundamentals of altcoins and project tokens are difficult to bring about sustained performance improvements.Q: What are the dominant narratives driving this change in market conditions? And what should be the narrative today? What are most people overlooking? We saw a major crypto exchange blowing up, a hedge fund thought to be untouchable, and an ecosystem that promised a financial utopia.Is Crypto still the future of finance, or should the community pursue a new vision? A: In our opinion, the changes in the market in 2022 depend on the position of the crypto market in the risk asset system.There is no doubt that crypto assets are at the tail end of the risk asset market due to the high volatility levels of the crypto market and the “Wild West” era it is in.Therefore, once there is any trouble, it is easier for investors to choose to sell and form a run, causing a more significant crisis.

The crypto market in 2022 is somewhat like the Nasdaq in the late 1990s.Adventurers and warriors gained a lot of wealth before 2000 and in 2021, which stimulated more people to come and take risks.Most people ignore the risks and end up with nothing.Therefore, compliance and security should be an integral part of the future narrative of the crypto market.

There is no doubt that crypto is the future direction of finance (faster speed, more programmatic, more global, more reasonable credit system, and more substantial innovation potential).Still, a series of previous events have shown that if investors’ money cannot be protected, they will eventually give up the crypto market and will not continue to pay for the potential of the market and new technologies, even if these technologies have potential and attractiveness.

Q: If you must choose one, what do you think was a significant moment for crypto in 2022? And will the industry feel its consequences across 2023? Where do you see the industry next Christmas? Will it survive this winter? Mainstream is once again declaring the death of the industry.Will they finally get it right? A: The collapse of FTX is the culmination of the 2022 bear market in the crypto market.The incident interrupted the slow recovery process of the crypto market and aroused widespread concern from regulators in major markets such as the US and the EU.In addition, many institutions have closed down due to the collapse of FTX or encountered operational difficulties and urgently need rescue.

It can be expected that in 2023, the aftermath of the FTX incident may eventually cause some institutions to go bankrupt, and more regulatory policies will also be introduced.In addition, from a macro perspective, due to the continuation of high interest rates, it is difficult for the crypto market to usher in new liquidity, and it will take longer to recover.However, in the above questions, we have mentioned some characteristics of the crypto market that are difficult to be replaced by traditional markets (faster speed, more programmatic, more global, more decentralized, more reasonable credit system, and more substantial innovation potential).Therefore, as long as investors have trading needs, the crypto industry will continue to exist, but it will become more compliant and secure.Q: To summarize for our readers, what sectors have been the most resilient in this crisis? Which ones are the most likely to recover in 2023? And how do you see the evolution of the nascent industry playing out? A: Considering the degree of acceptance, mainstream currencies such as BTC and ETH are still the most resilient sectors in the crypto market.

Public chains and crypto infrastructure are also one of the most resilient sectors in the crypto market in the future, for all applications in the crypto market need their support.In addition, the exchange sector is also quite resilient, for as the market stabilizes and gradually recovers, the trading needs of investors still exist and will start to grow again.Looking back at the history of the crypto market, many exchanges will go bankrupt in each bear period, but new exchanges will emerge in the bear market and shine in a new round of bull.

However, it is difficult to determine who will be the first to recover in 2023.Since there is still a long time before the liquidity faucet reopens, the current liquidity shortage situation is still difficult to improve.The crypto market will likely continue to consolidate at a low level for a long time.The crypto market is now at the end of the “Wild West”.As the crypto market continues to develop and mature, after the events of 2022, lawmakers will gradually have examples to help, and the regulatory and compliance framework will also take shape.The above may limit the crypto market’s development in some directions, but it is also good for the long-term growth of the crypto market.

Under the compliance framework, more funds from traditional markets and other sources can enter the crypto market, and the builders of the crypto market will have more opportunities to obtain investment.As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $16,800 with sideways movement across the board.Image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.Top posts 70 EH/s2 hours ago Bitcoin Hashrate Slides As Texas Miners Curtail Hashpower To Bolster The Grid Bitcoin’s total hashrate tapped a low of 170 exahash per second (EH/s) on Dec.25, as reports noted that bitcoin…Altcoins4 hours ago Ethereum [ETH] rises above $1,210 but is a year-end rally on the cards Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s…

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