Canada Interest Rate

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Canada Interest Rate

2023 Data – 1990-2022 Historical – 2024 Forecast – Calendar

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The Bank of Canada held the target for its overnight rate unchanged at 4.5% in its April 2023 meeting, as previously signaled, and stated that it will continue to monitor the latest economic data for future decisions on the policy rate.The decision followed the tightening pause in March, as the Governing Council believes that current borrowing costs are restrictive enough to bring inflation down to the 2% level and opted to support slowing growth.Lower energy prices allowed inflation to fall to 5.2% in February after hitting the 39-year high of 8.1% in June 2022, and the central bank’s updated monetary policy report expects inflation to slow to 3% by the middle of the year before gradually reaching the target of 2% by the end of 2024.On the growth front, the governing council revised GPD estimates to grow 1.4% this year and 1.3% in 2024, before picking up to 2.5% in 2025.

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Bank of Canada

Interest Rate in Canada averaged 5.78 percent from 1990 until 2023, reaching an all time high of 16.00 percent in February of 1991 and a record low of 0.25 percent in April of 2009.This page provides – Canada Interest Rate – actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.Canada Interest Rate – data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases – was last updated on June of 2023.

Interest Rate in Canada is expected to be 4.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations.In the long-term, the Canada Interest Rate is projected to trend around 3.00 percent in 2024, according to our econometric models.

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Calendar

GMT

Reference

Actual

Previous

Consensus

TEForecast

2023-01-25

03:00 PM

BoC Interest Rate Decision

4.5%

4.25%

4.5%

4.50%

2023-03-08

03:00 PM

BoC Interest Rate Decision

4.5%

4.5%

4.5%

4.5%

2023-04-12

02:00 PM

BoC Interest Rate Decision

4.5%

4.5%

4.5%

4.5%

2023-06-07

02:00 PM

BoC Interest Rate Decision

4.5%

4.5%

4.5%

2023-06-21

05:30 PM

BoC Summary of Deliberations

2023-07-12

02:00 PM

BoC Interest Rate Decision

Related

Last

Previous

Unit

Reference

Interest Rate

4.50

4.50

percent

May 2023

Money Supply M1

1505209.00

1524104.00

CAD Million

Mar 2023

Central Bank Balance Sheet

382554.00

382327.00

CAD Million

Apr 2023

Banks Balance Sheet

1163834.00

1166145.00

CAD Million

Mar 2023

Deposit Interest Rate

4.83

4.83

percent

Jun 2023

Canada Interest Rate

In Canada, benchmark interest rate is set by the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) Governing Council.

The official interest rate is the Overnight Rate.Since 1996 the Bank Rate is set at the upper limit of an operating band for the money market overnight rate.

Previously, from March 1980 until February 1996 the Bank Rate was set at 25 basis points above the weekly average tender rate for 3-month Treasury bills.

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4.50

4.50

16.00

0.25

1990 – 2023

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Interest Rate by Country

News Stream

Bank of Canada Leaves Rate Unchanged at 4.5%

The Bank of Canada held the target for its overnight rate unchanged at 4.5% in its April 2023 meeting, as previously signaled, and stated that it will continue to monitor the latest economic data for future decisions on the policy rate.The decision followed the tightening pause in March, as the Governing Council believes that current borrowing costs are restrictive enough to bring inflation down to the 2% level and opted to support slowing growth.

Lower energy prices allowed inflation to fall to 5.2% in February after hitting the 39-year high of 8.1% in June 2022, and the central bank’s updated monetary policy report expects inflation to slow to 3% by the middle of the year before gradually reaching the target of 2% by the end of 2024.On the growth front, the governing council revised GPD estimates to grow 1.4% this year and 1.3% in 2024, before picking up to 2.5% in 2025.

2023-04-12

BoC Pauses Rate Hikes as Expected

The Bank of Canada held the target for its overnight rate unchanged at 4.5% in its March 2023 meeting, as previously signaled, and stated that it should continue to hold the rate at the current level should economic conditions develop broadly in line with expectations in the latest Monetary Policy Report.The decision followed a 25bps interest rate hike in January and marked the first halt in the tightening campaign for major monetary authorities, as the BoC opted to shift its priority and support growth.

Canadian GDP growth stalled in the fourth quarter of 2022, lower than projections from the central bank.In the meantime, lower energy prices support the slowdown in consumer prices, strengthening the case for a pause in the bank’s tightening cycle.Inflation slowed to 5.9% in January since hitting its peak of 8.1% in June, and the bank continues to expect inflation to fall to 3% in the middle of the year.

2023-03-08

BoC Raises Rate and Signals End of Tightening

The Bank of Canada raised the target for its overnight rate by 25bps to 4.5% in its first meeting in 2023, as expected by markets, and signaled the end of its aggressive tightening cycle should economic developments evolve broadly with the central bank’s outlook.

The Bank added that it is also continuing its policy of quantitative tightening to complement the restrictive stance of the policy rate.Policymakers underscored that households continued to feel the pressure of higher inflation as food and shelter prices accelerated further, even though lower gasoline costs drove inflation to slow to 6.3% in December from the peak of 8.1% in June.

Still, short-term inflation expectations remain elevated, but are projected to come down significantly later in the year.

In the meantime, the bank estimates that the Canadian economy grew by 3.6% in 2022 but is likely to stall through the middle of the current year before growth picks up again in the second half.

2023-01-25

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